Southern Africa Faces Worsening Food Crisis After Drought: UN

Acute food insecurity, already affecting an estimated 16 million in the region in early 2024, could deteriorate in late 2024 as food prices – already rising at over 10% annually – likely climb further

ROME, Italy— Cereal production prospects in Southern Africa have taken a sharp downturn since February due to drought, the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization warned Monday, forecasting worsening food insecurity across the region, writes Winston Mwale

In a new assessment, FAO's Global Information and Early Warning System said widespread rainfall deficits and record high temperatures in February, particularly damaging for crops, have dashed hopes for an adequate maize harvest starting in May.

The expected shortfall in production, especially of maize which accounts for almost 20% of calories consumed in Southern Africa, is anticipated to intensify household food insecurity, push up domestic prices and spur a surge in import needs, the report said.

Acute food insecurity, already affecting an estimated 16 million in the region in early 2024, could deteriorate in late 2024 as food prices – already rising at over 10% annually – likely climb further, FAO said.

Typically maize exporters South Africa and Zambia are now projected to be unable to cover the regional supply shortfall, with Zambia already starting maize imports.

"This combination of reduced harvests and rising food prices is particularly harmful for agricultural households and restoration of production, as farm incomes are set to be squeezed while more resources will be needed to purchase food," said Jonathan Pound, an economist with FAO's alert system.

---